🏈 2026 CFB Week 4 — Game Deep Dives
Upcoming games in the board's eight-day window: each offense vs that defense → expected yards → points via yards-per-point, cross-checked by the efficiency engine · updated Sep 24, 2026 17:12 UTC
System OVER and model UNDER are labeled CONFLICT. A historical system signal does not claim agreement with the score model.
Liberty @ Coastal Carolina Thu Sep 24
Vegas: +2.5 / 50.2 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty vs Coastal Carolina D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Coastal Carolina vs Liberty D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Army @ Temple Fri Sep 25
Vegas: +3.0 / 47.8 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Army vs Temple D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Temple vs Army D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Navy @ UAB Fri Sep 25
Vegas: +6.8 / 51.2 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navy vs UAB D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| UAB vs Navy D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Northwestern @ Indiana Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -20.8 / 49.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern vs Indiana D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Indiana vs Northwestern D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Clemson @ California Sat Sep 26
Vegas: +1.2 / 50.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clemson vs California D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| California vs Clemson D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
UNLV @ Akron Sat Sep 26
Vegas: +13.5 / 52.8 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV vs Akron D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Akron vs UNLV D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Colorado @ Baylor Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -9.5 / 55.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado vs Baylor D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Baylor vs Colorado D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Virginia Tech @ Boston College Sat Sep 26
Vegas: +14.0 / 47.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Tech vs Boston College D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Boston College vs Virginia Tech D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Ball State @ Kent State Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -3.0 / 50.8 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State vs Kent State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Kent State vs Ball State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Wake Forest @ Louisville Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -13.8 / 56.8 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest vs Louisville D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Louisville vs Wake Forest D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Illinois @ Ohio State Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -27.2 / 53.8 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois vs Ohio State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Ohio State vs Illinois D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Texas @ Tennessee Sat Sep 26
Vegas: +4.0 / 55.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas vs Tennessee D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Tennessee vs Texas D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Sam Houston @ Texas Tech Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -34.5 / 55.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Houston vs Texas Tech D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Texas Tech vs Sam Houston D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
San Diego State @ Toledo Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -3.0 / 51.8 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State vs Toledo D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Toledo vs San Diego State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Colorado State @ UTSA Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -13.5 / 58.2 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado State vs UTSA D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| UTSA vs Colorado State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
South Alabama @ Kentucky Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -20.5 / 54.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama vs Kentucky D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Kentucky vs South Alabama D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
UCLA @ Maryland Sat Sep 26
Vegas: +1.5 / 56.8 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA vs Maryland D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Maryland vs UCLA D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Northern Illinois @ Georgia State Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -10.5 / 56.2 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Illinois vs Georgia State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Georgia State vs Northern Illinois D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Notre Dame @ Purdue Sat Sep 26
Vegas: +27.8 / 58.2 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame vs Purdue D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Purdue vs Notre Dame D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Hawai'i @ Wyoming Sat Sep 26
Vegas: +3.2 / 44.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawai'i vs Wyoming D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Wyoming vs Hawai'i D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Ole Miss @ Florida Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -3.5 / 59.2 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss vs Florida D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Florida vs Ole Miss D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Oklahoma @ Georgia Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -14.0 / 44.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma vs Georgia D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Georgia vs Oklahoma D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Utah @ Iowa State Sat Sep 26
Vegas: +8.2 / 47.8 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah vs Iowa State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Iowa State vs Utah D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
UConn @ Miami (OH) Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -3.5 / 51.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UConn vs Miami (OH) D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Miami (OH) vs UConn D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Iowa @ Michigan Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -5.5 / 38.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa vs Michigan D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Michigan vs Iowa D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
New Mexico @ New Mexico State Sat Sep 26
Vegas: +11.2 / 48.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico vs New Mexico State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| New Mexico State vs New Mexico D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
TCU @ UCF Sat Sep 26
Vegas: +3.0 / 48.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU vs UCF D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| UCF vs TCU D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Boise State @ Western Michigan Sat Sep 26
Vegas: +7.2 / 50.2 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State vs Western Michigan D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Western Michigan vs Boise State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Houston @ Georgia Southern Sat Sep 26
Vegas: +18.5 / 56.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston vs Georgia Southern D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Georgia Southern vs Houston D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Vanderbilt @ Auburn Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -9.5 / 55.2 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt vs Auburn D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Auburn vs Vanderbilt D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
South Florida @ Bowling Green Sat Sep 26
Vegas: +17.5 / 49.2 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida vs Bowling Green D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Bowling Green vs South Florida D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Nebraska @ Michigan State Sat Sep 26
Vegas: +5.8 / 48.8 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska vs Michigan State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Michigan State vs Nebraska D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Wisconsin @ Penn State Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -10.0 / 44.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin vs Penn State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Penn State vs Wisconsin D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
James Madison @ Old Dominion Sat Sep 26
Vegas: +6.0 / 44.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison vs Old Dominion D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Old Dominion vs James Madison D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Delaware @ Virginia Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -19.5 / 52.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware vs Virginia D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Virginia vs Delaware D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Louisiana @ Charlotte Sat Sep 26
Vegas: +10.0 / 48.8 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana vs Charlotte D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Charlotte vs Louisiana D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Central Michigan @ Miami Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -41.2 / 54.0 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Michigan vs Miami D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Miami vs Central Michigan D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
South Carolina @ Alabama Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -12.5 / 53.8 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Carolina vs Alabama D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Alabama vs South Carolina D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Kennesaw State @ Arkansas State Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -6.5 / 52.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennesaw State vs Arkansas State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Arkansas State vs Kennesaw State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Kansas State @ Cincinnati Sat Sep 26
Vegas: +6.2 / 55.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State vs Cincinnati D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Cincinnati vs Kansas State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Middle Tennessee @ Jacksonville State Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -7.0 / 51.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Jacksonville State vs Middle Tennessee D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Southern Miss @ Tulane Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -17.5 / 52.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss vs Tulane D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Tulane vs Southern Miss D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Oklahoma State @ West Virginia Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -1.8 / 60.2 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma State vs West Virginia D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| West Virginia vs Oklahoma State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Texas A&M @ LSU Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -9.0 / 51.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas A&M vs LSU D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| LSU vs Texas A&M D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
App State @ NC State Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -14.0 / 55.2 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| App State vs NC State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| NC State vs App State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Oregon @ USC Sat Sep 26
Vegas: +3.0 / 62.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon vs USC D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| USC vs Oregon D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Troy @ Utah State Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -3.0 / 47.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy vs Utah State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Utah State vs Troy D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Arizona @ Washington State Sat Sep 26
Vegas: +10.0 / 48.8 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona vs Washington State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Washington State vs Arizona D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Missouri @ Mississippi State Sat Sep 26
Vegas: -6.0 / 58.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri vs Mississippi State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Mississippi State vs Missouri D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Tulsa @ Arkansas Sun Sep 27
Vegas: -7.0 / 50.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa vs Arkansas D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Arkansas vs Tulsa D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Florida Atlantic @ UL Monroe Sun Sep 27
Vegas: +13.5 / 57.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Atlantic vs UL Monroe D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| UL Monroe vs Florida Atlantic D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Missouri State @ SMU Sun Sep 27
Vegas: -34.8 / 59.8 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State vs SMU D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| SMU vs Missouri State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Oregon State @ UTEP Sun Sep 27
Vegas: +10.5 / 55.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon State vs UTEP D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| UTEP vs Oregon State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Rice @ Fresno State Sun Sep 27
Vegas: -13.5 / 44.2 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rice vs Fresno State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Fresno State vs Rice D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Air Force @ Nevada Sun Sep 27
Vegas: +5.5 / 49.5 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force vs Nevada D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Nevada vs Air Force D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Georgia Tech @ Stanford Sun Sep 27
Vegas: +3.5 / 47.8 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Tech vs Stanford D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Stanford vs Georgia Tech D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Minnesota @ Washington Sun Sep 27
Vegas: -10.0 / 45.8 · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota vs Washington D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Washington vs Minnesota D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
Western Kentucky @ New Mexico State Fri Oct 2
Vegas: awaiting line · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
North Texas @ Tulsa Fri Oct 2
Vegas: awaiting line · Model: 🔒 (spread is home-based)
| Proj rush yds | Proj pass yds | Total yds | Yards / point | Yards engine | Efficiency engine | Final pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas vs Tulsa D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
| Tulsa vs North Texas D | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
System flags: 🔒
How to read this. "Proj rush/pass yds" = that offense's schedule-adjusted output against this specific defense.
"Yards / point" = how many yards this offense historically needs per point, blended with what this defense concedes (a persistent
team trait — we measured it). The yards engine converts expected yards to points; the efficiency engine projects from
garbage-time-filtered per-play value; the final margin averages the engines (+2.5 home field, none at neutral sites).
Week-1 ratings are preseason (last-season units + regression; 2026 returning-production data sharpens them when published).
Not betting advice. 21+.