Week-3 BoardGame Deep DivesQB ReportPower Ratings

🏈 2026 NFL — Week 3 Board

Loading season status…
Model-projected scores vs the latest cached Vegas lines · updated Sep 25, 2026 11:15 UTC · lines move — this page refreshes daily

Ratings use completed games through Week 2, blended with the preseason prior (32 teams eligible).

Completed weeks / results archive

16 Week-3 games projected
16 with cached lines
4 validated system flags
totals at closing-line grade (2025 holdout)
DateMatchupVegas spread/totalModel spread/totalProjected scoreSystem flags
Thu Sep 24ATL @ GB+4.5 / 43.5🔒🔒
Sun Sep 27LAC @ BUF+7.0 / 50.5🔒🔒
Sun Sep 27CAR @ CLE-2.5 / 42.5🔒🔒
Sun Sep 27NYJ @ DET+6.5 / 47.5🔒🔒
Sun Sep 27HOU @ IND-1.5 / 42.5🔒🔒
Sun Sep 27NE @ JAX+3.0 / 46.5🔒🔒
Sun Sep 27KC @ MIA-10.5 / 45.5🔒🔒
Sun Sep 27TEN @ NYG+2.5 / 38.5🔒🔒
Sun Sep 27CIN @ PIT-3.5 / 42.5🔒🔒
Sun Sep 27SEA @ WAS-7.5 / 40.5🔒🔒
Sun Sep 27ARI @ SF+8.5 / 47.5🔒🔒
Sun Sep 27MIN @ TB-1.5 / 42.5🔒🔒
Sun Sep 27BAL @ DAL N-3.5 / 53.5🔒🔒
Sun Sep 27LV @ NO+3.0 / 43.5🔒🔒
Sun Sep 27LA @ DEN-2.5 / 44.5🔒🔒
Mon Sep 28PHI @ CHI-4.5 / 41.5🔒🔒

NFL results archive

Completed weeks stay here as the live board advances. These are final scores, not a betting record. Missing pregame predictions are not reconstructed after the game. View saved Game Analysis (history access depends on your plan).

Week 2 · 16 finals
DateMatchupFinal scorePregame record
2026-09-17DET @ BUFDET 31 - BUF 41Saved pregame analysis
2026-09-20CAR @ ATLCAR 34 - ATL 3Saved pregame analysis
2026-09-20CIN @ HOUCIN 20 - HOU 6Saved pregame analysis
2026-09-20CLE @ TBCLE 23 - TB 19Saved pregame analysis
2026-09-20GB @ NYJGB 20 - NYJ 17Saved pregame analysis
2026-09-20IND @ KCIND 30 - KC 33Saved pregame analysis
2026-09-20JAX @ DENJAX 13 - DEN 20Saved pregame analysis
2026-09-20LV @ LACLV 26 - LAC 14Saved pregame analysis
2026-09-20MIA @ SFMIA 13 - SF 35Saved pregame analysis
2026-09-20MIN @ CHIMIN 9 - CHI 3Saved pregame analysis
2026-09-20NO @ BALNO 24 - BAL 17Saved pregame analysis
2026-09-20PHI @ TENPHI 24 - TEN 20Saved pregame analysis
2026-09-20PIT @ NEPIT 3 - NE 20Saved pregame analysis
2026-09-20SEA @ ARISEA 31 - ARI 7Saved pregame analysis
2026-09-20WAS @ DALWAS 20 - DAL 37Saved pregame analysis
2026-09-21NYG @ LANYG 6 - LA 28Saved pregame analysis
Week 1 · 16 finals
DateMatchupFinal scorePregame record
2026-09-09NE @ SEANE 10 - SEA 13No pregame snapshot
2026-09-10SF @ LASF 27 - LA 7No pregame snapshot
2026-09-13ARI @ LACARI 26 - LAC 14No pregame snapshot
2026-09-13ATL @ PITATL 13 - PIT 20No pregame snapshot
2026-09-13BAL @ INDBAL 41 - IND 23No pregame snapshot
2026-09-13BUF @ HOUBUF 36 - HOU 31No pregame snapshot
2026-09-13CHI @ CARCHI 59 - CAR 37No pregame snapshot
2026-09-13CLE @ JAXCLE 10 - JAX 34No pregame snapshot
2026-09-13DAL @ NYGDAL 20 - NYG 28No pregame snapshot
2026-09-13GB @ MINGB 22 - MIN 39No pregame snapshot
2026-09-13MIA @ LVMIA 13 - LV 27No pregame snapshot
2026-09-13NO @ DETNO 30 - DET 31No pregame snapshot
2026-09-13NYJ @ TENNYJ 23 - TEN 10No pregame snapshot
2026-09-13TB @ CINTB 27 - CIN 33No pregame snapshot
2026-09-13WAS @ PHIWAS 22 - PHI 24No pregame snapshot
2026-09-14DEN @ KCDEN 10 - KC 31No pregame snapshot
Following college football too?
Pro includes NFL projections and breakdowns. MVP includes Pro plus the CFB weekly system card and saved CFB analysis. Compare the current features before choosing a plan.
Explore MVP →
Methodology & honesty. Projections come from our locked NFL model: a rush/pass yards-matchup engine (each offense vs that defense, schedule-adjusted) converted to points via blended team yards-per-point, ensembled with an EPA + success-rate efficiency model. Walk-forward validated on 2015–2025; on the untouched 2025 season the totals projection matched the Vegas closing line's accuracy, and margins land within ~a half-point of market average error. Early-season numbers are preseason ratings (65% last-season units, regressed to league) — they sharpen weekly once games are played. System flags are era-validated situational spots (each held in both halves of a 27-year sample). Opening lines move; nothing here is betting advice. For entertainment purposes only. 21+.