Win rate alone is not enough
A high hit rate can still lose money when the prices are expensive. A lower hit rate can be profitable at plus-money odds. That is why SportsEdgePicks tracks the posted price, units, and ROI alongside wins and losses.
The record-integrity rules
- Published decisions are timestamped and retained.
- Every published play is graded as a win, loss, or push.
- PASS days are part of the decision history, not failures to hide.
- Results use the price that was posted, not a better number found afterward.
- Internal research and unpublished tests are kept separate from the public record.
Why closing-line value matters
Closing-line value, or CLV, compares the posted price with the market close. Consistently beating the closing price can be useful evidence that a process identifies value, even though it cannot guarantee the outcome of any individual game.
Where to review the record
The homepage displays the current public record and the most recently graded decision. The methodology page explains how a play reaches the record, and the Trust FAQ explains PASS days, Kelly sizing, and responsible-use principles.
Audit before you subscribe
Start with the public record and the method. The goal is informed trust, not a promise of guaranteed wins.
View the current public record