MLB and NHL live now, more rolling out — the same transparent, market-aware model in every sport: real projections, market price, and a Kelly bet/pass gate. Every published play is timestamped, graded, and kept in view. No hidden picks. No deleted losses.
SportsEdgePicks is a multi-sport platform — the same transparent, market-aware, every-result-public approach, sport by sport. MLB and NHL are live now. Here's the full rollout.
One play-or-PASS a day. Pitcher-first projections, bullpen context, Kelly gate — every result public.
Live · BetaShooter-vs-goalie shots-on-goal projections — the granular matchup edge. Live now in beta, graded in public.
Coming soonPlayer props and totals, built on pace and matchup. Coming soon.
Fall 2026Spreads, totals, and player props for the fall. Bundled with MVP at launch.
Coming soonEfficiency-driven sides and totals across the FBS slate. Coming soon.
Coming soonTempo-free ratings into sides, totals, and March edges. Coming soon.
The most recent play, settled against the actual final score. Every previous pick is logged the same way.
In the 2026 season, when the betting market moved a totals line before first pitch, our model was already on the side it moved toward 60% of the time (86 of 143 moves of half a run or more). We publish at lineup confirmation — before the move. The market then corrects toward a number we'd already posted.
That's closing-line value — the earliest honest evidence a model carries real information. Predicting the line's move is not the same as winning the bet; we track entry-vs-close CLV on every published play and report it either way. How we measure this →
Free users see the matchup. Pro unlocks the pick, edge, Kelly sizing, and full reasoning.
Same kinds of inputs bookmakers weigh, made transparent. Full breakdown on the methodology page.
MLB: 3-year weighted xwOBA → a run-expectancy projection for each lineup. NHL: every shooter's shot profile vs the exact goalie he's facing → projected shots on goal. Advanced stats, matchup by matchup.
MLB: starter & bullpen quality, park, weather, handedness, recent form. NHL: goalie quality & rest, pace, ice time. Then we compare every projection to the closing line.
MLB: one play a day, filtered by a Kelly bet/pass gate — and when the edge isn't there, we publish the PASS. NHL: beta projections, forward-tested in the open. Every result public, win or lose.
Built so a free signup is genuinely useful — and so paying gets you the full board, line context, and Kelly verdict.
Trust-building. See the record and the published process before you pay.
Today's full pick + the full board, line context, and Kelly verdict.
For people who want the full audit trail. NFL bundled when it ships.
Drop your email — you'll get tomorrow's matchup and our public record update at 2:05 PM ET. (The lean, edge, and Kelly verdict unlock with Pro.) No password, no friction. Unsubscribe with one click in any email.
By submitting, you agree to our Terms and Privacy Policy. For entertainment only. 21+.