● Live since 2026-05-22

Model-driven edges across pro sports.
Every result public — win or lose.

MLB and NHL live now, more rolling out — the same transparent, market-aware model in every sport: real projections, market price, and a Kelly bet/pass gate. Every published play is timestamped, graded, and kept in view. No hidden picks. No deleted losses.

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Run Line ·
Totals ·
Moneyline ROI ·
Since

One model discipline. Every sport.

SportsEdgePicks is a multi-sport platform — the same transparent, market-aware, every-result-public approach, sport by sport. MLB and NHL are live now. Here's the full rollout.

Live
MLB

One play-or-PASS a day. Pitcher-first projections, bullpen context, Kelly gate — every result public.

Live · Beta
🏒
NHL

Shooter-vs-goalie shots-on-goal projections — the granular matchup edge. Live now in beta, graded in public.

Coming soon
🏀
NBA

Player props and totals, built on pace and matchup. Coming soon.

Fall 2026
🏈
NFL

Spreads, totals, and player props for the fall. Bundled with MVP at launch.

Coming soon
🏟️
College Football

Efficiency-driven sides and totals across the FBS slate. Coming soon.

Coming soon
🏀
College Basketball

Tempo-free ratings into sides, totals, and March edges. Coming soon.

Yesterday's pick — graded.

The most recent play, settled against the actual final score. Every previous pick is logged the same way.

Matchup
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Our Play
Vegas Line
Final Score
Result
Date

When the market moves, it moves toward our number.

60%

In the 2026 season, when the betting market moved a totals line before first pitch, our model was already on the side it moved toward 60% of the time (86 of 143 moves of half a run or more). We publish at lineup confirmation — before the move. The market then corrects toward a number we'd already posted.

That's closing-line value — the earliest honest evidence a model carries real information. Predicting the line's move is not the same as winning the bet; we track entry-vs-close CLV on every published play and report it either way. How we measure this →

Today's public card is locked.

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How we pick.

Same kinds of inputs bookmakers weigh, made transparent. Full breakdown on the methodology page.

01

Model the matchup, not the box score

MLB: 3-year weighted xwOBA → a run-expectancy projection for each lineup. NHL: every shooter's shot profile vs the exact goalie he's facing → projected shots on goal. Advanced stats, matchup by matchup.

02

Adjust for everything Vegas adjusts for

MLB: starter & bullpen quality, park, weather, handedness, recent form. NHL: goalie quality & rest, pace, ice time. Then we compare every projection to the closing line.

03

Gated, graded, public

MLB: one play a day, filtered by a Kelly bet/pass gate — and when the edge isn't there, we publish the PASS. NHL: beta projections, forward-tested in the open. Every result public, win or lose.

Plans.

Built so a free signup is genuinely useful — and so paying gets you the full board, line context, and Kelly verdict.

Free
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Trust-building. See the record and the published process before you pay.

  • Yesterday's pick + result
  • Today's card (locked)
  • Live record + ATS %
  • Situational trends explorer
  • Daily recap email
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For people who want the full audit trail. NFL bundled when it ships.

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